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While
total and compound annual returns are useful, savvy
investors will look deeper, using a variety of metrics, to
get a more complete picture on mutual fund performance.
On January 1, 2006, a leading financial daily reported the
trailing 1-year and 5-year returns of Fidelity
Contrafund (Nasdaq: FCNTX), a no-load mutual fund, as
16.23% and 6.21% respectively. While the financial daily’s
return information is useful, there is more to mutual fund
returns.
Is the performance of the fund superior or inferior?
How tax-efficient is the fund in delivering these returns?
Are the returns of the fund commensurate with the risk the
fund manager has taken to achieve them?
Savvy investors will seek answers to such questions when
evaluating mutual fund returns. Before getting into the
nitty-gritty of mutual fund returns, it is good to
understand what the data reported in the financial daily
really mean.
Total Return
Fidelity Contra’s reported 16.23% 1-year return is the
fund’s total return for the December 31, 2004 to
December 31, 2005 period. In practical terms, $10,000
invested in the fund on December 31, 2004 is worth $11,623
on December 31, 2005. The total return includes more than
the increase (or decrease) in the fund's share price. It
also assumes reinvestment of all dividends as well as
short- and long-term capital gain distributions into the
fund at the price at which each distribution is made.
Compound Annual Return
The reported 6.21% 5-year return is the fund’s compound
annual return (also called the average annual return).
The compound annual return is a calculated number that
describes the rate at which the investment has grown
assuming uniform year-over-year growth during the 5-year
period.
A $10,000 investment in the Contrafund on December 31,
2000 has grown to $13,515.34 on December 31, 2005. The
ending value of $13,515.34 = $10,000[(1 + 0.0621)^5] where
6.21% is the compound annual return. The investment in the
fund grew at an implied annual growth rate of 6.21% over
the 5-year period.
While total return and compound annual return are useful,
they do not tell how a particular mutual fund has
performed compared to its peers. They also do not provide
information on the return actually earned by investors
after accounting for taxes. Finally, they do not offer
insight on how well the fund manager has managed risk
while achieving the returns.
Relative Return
Relative return compares the performance of a
mutual fund against its peers. It is the difference
between the total return of the fund and the total return
of an appropriate benchmark over the same period.
Fidelity Contra is a large-cap growth fund that primarily
invests in U.S.-based companies. It is therefore
appropriate to compare its performance with that of an
average large-cap growth fund. It is also relevant to
benchmark the fund against the Standard & Poor’s
(S&P) 500 index, comprising of large U.S.-based
companies.
While Fidelity Contra has a compound annual return of
6.21% for the 5-year period ending December 31, 2005,
Morningstar reports the average large-cap growth fund has
an average annual loss of 8.48% over the same period. The
S&P 500 index has an average annual return of 0.54%
over the same period. Fidelity Contra has outperformed
with a relative return of 14.69% over the average
large-cap growth fund and with a relative return of 5.67%
over an S&P 500 index fund.
After-Tax Return
Unlike assets held in qualified accounts such as 401k
plans or individual retirement accounts (IRA), assets held
in regular individual or joint accounts are not
tax-deferred. For such non-qualified accounts, after-tax
return is the return realized after accounting for
taxes.
Short-term capital gains and short-term capital gain
distributions from a mutual fund are currently taxed at
the same rate as earned income. Dividends, long-term
capital gain distributions and long-term capital gains
realized from the sale of fund shares are currently taxed
at a lower rate.
Fidelity states the compound annual return for Fidelity
Contra before taxes is 6.21% for the 5-year period ending
on December 31, 2005. When all distributions are taxed at
the respective maximum possible federal income-tax rate,
the after-tax return dips to 6.10%. The after-tax return
drops further to 5.33% after accounting for the long-term
capital gain tax due on sale of the fund shares.
Risk-Adjusted Return
Some fund managers take more risk than others. It is
important to assess a fund’s return in light of the
amount of risk the fund manager takes to deliver that
return.
Risk-Adjusted Return is commonly measured using the
Sharpe Ratio. The ratio is calculated using the formula
(mutual fund return - risk free return)/standard deviation
of mutual fund return. The higher the Sharpe ratio, the
better is the fund’s return per unit risk.
Based on returns for the 3-year period ending on November
30, 2005, Morningstar reports Fidelity Contra’s Sharpe
ratio as 1.74. The fund’s Sharpe Ratio may be compared
with those of similar funds to determine how the fund’s
risk-adjusted return compares with those of its peers.
Beyond Mutual Funds
Return concepts such as relative return, after-tax return,
and risk-adjusted return may also be used for evaluating
separately-managed accounts, hedge funds and investment
newsletter model portfolios.
The AlphaProfit
Sector Investors’ Newsletter, for example, tracks
the total return and compounded annual return of its Core
and Focus model portfolios. To provide Subscribers
with a more complete picture of model portfolio returns,
this newsletter also tracks the relative
and risk-adjusted returns of the model portfolios. The
newsletter’s model portfolios are constructed
and repositioned with a view to maximizing after-tax
returns.
Summary
While total return and compound annual return are useful,
they do not provide a complete picture of a mutual fund’s
performance. Metrics such as relative return and after-tax
return offer insights on the fund’s relative performance
and tax-efficiency. Risk-adjusted returns enable investors
to assess how a fund’s returns stack up when risk is
factored in.
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About
The Author
Sam
Subramanian, Ph.D, MBA is Managing
Principal of AlphaProfit
Investments, LLC. He edits the
AlphaProfit Sector Investors’ Newsletter™.
The investment
newsletter is ranked #1 by Hulbert
Financial Digest. As of December 31, 2005,
the investment newsletter’s model
portfolios have gained up to 87.8% since
start of publication on September 30,
2003. The Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 index
has gained 34.6% during the same period.
To learn more about the newsletter, visit http://www.alphaprofit.com. |
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